Evaluating Land Use and Livelihood Impacts of Early Forest Carbon Projects: Lessons for Learning about REDD+

Reference Type:
Journal Article

Secondary Title:

Series Title:

Author(s):
Caplow, Susan C.
Jagger, Pamela
Lawlor, Kathleen
Sills, Erin

Editor(s):

Series Author(s):

Year Published:
2011

Date Published:

Journal Name:
Environmental Science & Policy

Volume Number:
14

Issue Number:
2

Start Page Number:
152-67

End Page Number:

Edition:
20101112

Series Volume:

Publisher:

City of Publication:

ISSN/ISBN:

DOI:
10.1016/j.envsci.2010.10.003

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NIHMSID:

Reference ID:
4887

Miscellaneous:

Abstract:

The ‘Bali Road Map’ of UNFCCC COP-13 calls for sharing lessons learned from demonstration activities that aim to reduce emissions from deforestation and degradation and enhance forest carbon stocks (now known as ‘REDD+’). To develop a feasible yet rigorous strategy for learning from these REDD+ pilots, it is critical to assess previous efforts to evaluate the impacts of ‘pre-REDD+’ avoided deforestation projects. Further, because REDD+ remains a politically volatile issue, with both critics and supporters pointing to the impacts (or lack thereof) of these pre-REDD+ projects, it is important to critically examine the methods employed to assess those impacts. We review the body of literature that makes claims about the socioeconomic and biophysical impacts of pre-REDD+ projects. We find assessments of outcomes or impacts for only five pre-REDD projects. The design, data collection, and analysis methods for understanding the impacts of pre-REDD+ projects frequently lack rigor. In particular, the counterfactual scenarios for establishing socioeconomic impacts are vague, unscientific, or omitted completely. We conclude that drawing specific lessons from pre-REDD+ projects for the design or evaluation of current REDD+ projects is tenuous. Rigorous project evaluations are challenging, expensive, and time-consuming, but because they are so critical for learning about what works for people and forests, evaluations of current REDD+ projects must use improved methods. In particular, much better care should be taken to construct credible – and where possible, consistent – counterfactuals for both biophysical and socioeconomic outcomes.

Keyword(s):
Population and Environment

URL:

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2010.10.003

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Citation:

Caplow, Susan C.; Jagger, Pamela; Lawlor, Kathleen; & Sills, Erin. (2011). Evaluating Land Use and Livelihood Impacts of Early Forest Carbon Projects: Lessons for Learning about REDD+. Environmental Science & Policy, 14(2), 152-67.