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Diarrheal Disease Risk in Rural Bangladesh Decreases as Tubewell Density Increases: A Zero-Inflated and Geographically Weighted Analysis

Citation

Carrel, Margaret A.; Escamilla, Veronica; Messina, Jane P.; Giebultowicz, Sophia; Winston, Jennifer Jane; Yunus, Mohammad; Streatfield, Peter Kim; & Emch, Michael E. (2011). Diarrheal Disease Risk in Rural Bangladesh Decreases as Tubewell Density Increases: A Zero-Inflated and Geographically Weighted Analysis. International Journal of Health Geographics, 10(1), 41. PMCID: PMC3136404

Abstract

BACKGROUND: This study investigates the impact of tubewell user density on cholera and shigellosis events in Matlab, Bangladesh between 2002 and 2004. Household-level demographic, health, and water infrastructure data were incorporated into a local geographic information systems (GIS) database. Geographically-weighted regression (GWR) models were constructed to identify spatial variation of relationships across the study area. Zero-inflated negative binomial regression models were run to simultaneously measure the likelihood of increased magnitude of disease events and the likelihood of zero cholera or shigellosis events. The aim of this study was to examine the effect of tubewell density on both the occurrence of diarrheal disease and the magnitude of diarrheal disease incidence.
RESULTS: In Matlab, households with greater tubewell density were more likely to report zero cholera or shigellosis events. Results for both cholera and shigellosis GWR models suggest that tubewell density effects are spatially stationary and the use of non-spatial statistical methods is appropriate.
CONCLUSIONS: Increasing the amount of drinking water available to households through increased density of tubewells contributed to lower reports of cholera and shigellosis events in rural Bangladesh. Our findings demonstrate the importance of tubewell installation and access to groundwater in reducing diarrheal disease events in the developing world.

URL

http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1476-072X-10-41

Reference Type

Journal Article

Year Published

2011

Journal Title

International Journal of Health Geographics

Author(s)

Carrel, Margaret A.
Escamilla, Veronica
Messina, Jane P.
Giebultowicz, Sophia
Winston, Jennifer Jane
Yunus, Mohammad
Streatfield, Peter Kim
Emch, Michael E.

PMCID

PMC3136404