The Forecasted Prevalence of Comorbidities and Multimorbidity in People with HIV in the United States through the Year 2030: A Modeling Study

Citation

Althoff, Keri N.; Stewart, Cameron; Humes, Elizabeth; Gerace, Lucas; Boyd, Cynthia; Gebo, Kelly A.; Justice, Amy C.; Hyle, Emily P.; Coburn, Sally B.; & Lang, Raynell, et al. (Online ahead of print). The Forecasted Prevalence of Comorbidities and Multimorbidity in People with HIV in the United States through the Year 2030: A Modeling Study. PLOS Medicine, 21(1), e1004325.

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Estimating the medical complexity of people aging with HIV can inform clinical programs and policy to meet future healthcare needs. The objective of our study was to forecast the prevalence of comorbidities and multimorbidity among people with HIV (PWH) using antiretroviral therapy (ART) in the United States (US) through 2030.
METHODS AND FINDINGS: Using the PEARL model-an agent-based simulation of PWH who have initiated ART in the US-the prevalence of anxiety, depression, stage

URL

http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1004325

Reference Type

Journal Article

Year Published

Online ahead of print

Journal Title

PLOS Medicine

Author(s)

Althoff, Keri N.
Stewart, Cameron
Humes, Elizabeth
Gerace, Lucas
Boyd, Cynthia
Gebo, Kelly A.
Justice, Amy C.
Hyle, Emily P.
Coburn, Sally B.
Lang, Raynell
Silverberg, Michael J.
Horberg, Michael A.
Lima, Viviane D.
Gill, M. John
Karris, Maile
Rebeiro, Peter F.
Thorne, Jennifer
Rich, Ashleigh J.
Crane, Heidi M.
Kitahata, Mari M.
Rubtsova, Anna
Wong, Cherise
Leng, Sean
Marconi, Vincent C.
D'Souza, Gypsyamber
Kim, Hyang K.
Napravnik, Sonia
McGinnis, Kathleen A.
Kirk, Gregory D.
Sterling, Timothy R.
Moore, Richard D.
Kasaie, Parastu

Article Type

Regular

Data Set/Study

North American AIDS Cohort

Continent/Country

North America

State

Nonspecific

Race/Ethnicity

White
Black
Hispanic

Sex/Gender

Men